We have just published a new preprint — What demographic prediction can and cannot achieve — that argues that the choice of model drives nearly all the variance in long-run demographic projections, ...

Fertility behavior is jointly determined by both the mother and the father. However, fertility is traditionally defined as the number of children born to women in demography and related studies.

Integrated population dynamics modelling brings together diverse data streams—such as count surveys, demographic records and capture–mark–recapture histories—into a unified statistical framework. By ...

The methods used in the present study for the projections of mortality and burden of disease are similar to those used in the original GBD study. [2] Separate projections models for males and females ...